With Sevilla losing to Atletic Bilbao, the La Liga race is once again brought down to Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, and FC Barcelona
The 2020-21 football season is almost coming to an end with Inter-Milan winning the Serie-A after 11 years. In England and Germany too, the race is almost over with Manchester City and FC Bayern Munich just one win away from clinching the title.
However, Ligue 1 and La Liga are going close at the moment and fans might not know the winner till the very last match of the season. Currently, Atletico sits at the top with 76 points, Real and Barca are tied at 74 points and Sevilla is at the fourth spot with 70 points- all at the end of 34 matches each.
Inaki Williams’ late winner possibly ended Sevilla’s dreams of winning the La Liga 2020-21. Even though they are still in the race, it will be tough for them to beat the Big Three giants to win the title this time. This weekend is really important for all the top 4 teams as they will be up against each other.
FC Barcelona will face Atletico Madrid at home while their arch-rivals Real Madrid will go one on one against Sevilla this weekend. Let us look at some scenarios that will determine how the La Liga 2020-21 ends-
Situation-1: If Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid both win
In such a situation, Atletico will manage to build an 8-point gap over Sevilla, and Sevilla’s dream of winning the La Liga will be possibly over.
Simeone’s men will also establish a 5-point win over Barcelona and it will be tough for them to bounce back as well. However, their lead over Real Madrid will be just 2 points and it’ll be a cause of worry for them.
The ideal situation for Atletico will be to win and pray that Sevilla beats Real as well. Even if both Real and Atletico end up with equal points, Real will emerge as the winner because of their better head-to-head record against them in the two legs so far.
Situation-2: If FC Barcelona and Sevilla both win
Practically, it’ll be the best situation for Barcelona if they manage to win and Sevilla beats Real Madrid. Under such a system, Barcelona will go at the top of the table with 77 points- one point clear of Atletico and three points clear of Real Madrid.
Sevilla too will have a chance this way as they’ll be just four points behind the table-toppers under such a scenario. However, Real has just lost two matches in 2021- one against Levante and the other against Chelsea. Although they have managed quite a few draws, beating them would be challenging for Sevilla.
Situation-3: If Real Madrid and Barcelona both win
This will be good for Real as they’ll go top of the table. Barcelona will be tied with them at 77 points but will be behind them due to the poor show at the head-to-head battle. A loss for Sevilla will be very tough to take and they’ll continue to remain at the fourth spot with 70 points- & points behind both Barca and Real.
It’ll be a big setback for Atletico as they’ll not be 1 point behind both Real and Barca and will go down to the third spot for the first time in the year.
Situation-4: If Atletico Madrid and Sevilla both win
It’ll possibly be the best situation for Atletico Madrid as they’ll go 5 points clear of Real Madrid. They’ll also be 5 points clear of Barcelona and will be 6 points ahead of Sevilla.
In such a situation, even if Simeone’s men manage a few draws or even a defeat in their remaining three games, they’ll still be on the top of the table even if both Real and Barca manage to win their next fixtures.
Situation-5: If the match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid ends in a draw
If Atletico and Barcelona draw at Camp Nou, they’ll just get one point each. In such a situation, Barcelona will be at 75 points and Atletico at 77.
If then, Real Madrid wins against Sevilla, they’ll go at the top of the table and this will prove to be the best situation for them. They’ll be tied with Atletico but will be above them, 2 points ahead of Barcelona, and 7 points clear of Sevilla.
However, if Sevilla wins, it’ll be the best possible scenario for them as they’ll now just be 4 points behind Atletico Madrid and just 1 point behind both Real and Barcelona.
Even though these situations are leading fans towards a winner, they can’t guarantee a possible winner. Apart from these, it’ll also depend on how these teams play in their remaining three matches.
Next 3 fixtures of the 4 teams
Atletico Madrid: Real Sociedad (5th), Osasuna (11th), Valladolid (17th)
Read Madrid: Granada (8th), Athletic Club (9th), Villarreal (6th)
FC Barcelona: Levante (13th), Celta Vigo (10th), Eibar (20th)
Sevilla FC: Valencia (14th), Villarreal (6th), Alaves (16th)
()-represents their position in La Liga table
It’ll be intriguing to see who succeeds and who bites the dust in La Liga 2020-21. Who will win Spain’s domestic League this season?